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Eurozone Inflation Ticks Up to 2.2% in November as Core Holds at 2.4%

Markets still expect no change at the ECB’s December 18 meeting after the preliminary print.

Overview

  • Eurostat’s first estimate shows headline HICP rising to 2.2% year over year from 2.1% in October, defying forecasts for an unchanged rate.
  • Core inflation stayed at 2.4%, with services inflation edging up to 3.5% and food at 2.5%, while energy prices fell 0.5% from a year earlier.
  • The figures are preliminary and subject to revision when Eurostat releases updated data.
  • The European Central Bank has kept policy steady for months with the deposit rate at 2.0%, and traders anticipate no move in December.
  • Economists say the data sit within the ECB’s comfort zone, with some noting rate-cut speculation could build after year‑end if inflation briefly dips below 2%.