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European Militaries Build Scenarios for Possible Russia Conflict Within Four Years

New planning cells signal a move from warnings to concrete preparation across European governments.

Overview

  • General staffs are modeling contingencies that envision a confrontation in roughly three to four years using dedicated anticipation units.
  • NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte has urged Europeans to prepare for a war of a scale not seen for generations, warning of mass mobilization and widespread suffering.
  • Strategic anticipation now spans think tanks, intelligence services, military planners, and political leaders across the continent.
  • Recent allied drills, including November NATO exercises in Santimbru, Romania, highlight efforts to test readiness and strengthen deterrence.
  • Officials emphasize that the scenarios are planning tools rather than predictions of an imminent Russian attack.