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Euribor Nears 3% as July Average Rises to About 2.85%

Energy-driven inflation alongside a likely ECB decision in September threatens to push variable mortgage costs higher for many borrowers.

Overview

  • Provisional Euribor figures for July 2026 show a monthly average around 2.85%, the highest since September 2024 and a rise from June that will lift revision-linked mortgage payments.
  • A typical new loan illustrates the impact: a €200,000 mortgage at Euribor +0.60% could see monthly payments rise by about €80, while a €350,000 loan could increase roughly €140 per month.
  • The European Central Bank left its policy rate at 2.25% in its most recent meeting, but market commentary and analysts flag a possible September hike that would create upward pressure on Euribor.
  • Spanish banks adjusted many mortgage offers in the first half of 2026 and continue aggressive pricing competition, with some lenders offering rates below interbank levels and fixed-rate pricing reflecting swap-market expectations.
  • Most forecasts expect a calmer Euribor path than the 2022–2024 roller coaster, yet consumer groups warn that persistent energy inflation or an ECB rate rise could make a 3% floor more likely and cool housing demand later this year.