Overview
- Updated forecasts put reentry near 11:20 UTC on January 30 with uncertainty under one hour, according to the latest reports.
- Early maps that included parts of France are being revised, with probable ground tracks shifting toward northern Europe.
- EU Space Surveillance and Tracking is actively monitoring the object and refining estimates using its sensor network.
- Belgian authorities have advised the public to avoid any fallen fragments and to alert law enforcement rather than handle objects.
- The rocket stage, launched by China’s LandSpace on December 3 and estimated at about 11 tonnes and 12–13 meters, appears to be breaking up uncontrollably as researchers also highlight seismometer-based methods to speed debris localization.