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EU Maps Out ETS Overhaul, Weighing New Rules for Free CO2 Permits

An internal EU document lays out three choices for reshaping industry allowances and points to a formal proposal in the third quarter.

Overview

  • The European Commission is considering three options for free allowances: scrapping them in favor of buying permits for a growing share of emissions, tying them to low‑carbon investments, or largely keeping the current system.
  • The planned revision would also rework the ETS cap to avoid reaching zero in 2039 and align with a target to cut domestic emissions 85% by 2040.
  • Commission officials aim to table the carbon market proposal in the third quarter, according to the internal presentation reported by Reuters.
  • Industry pressure is intensifying, with BASF’s CEO calling the current ETS obsolete, citing annual permit costs in the triple‑digit millions of euros and warning of steeper bills without reform.
  • The chemicals lobby Cefic reports plant closures have doubled in a year and investment has roughly halved, as EU carbon prices trade near €80 per ton and the Czech prime minister urges limits on the price.