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Ethereum Tests $4,100–$4,300 Resistance, Next Move Hinges on Breakout

Institutional buying contrasts with two straight weeks of U.S. spot ETH ETF outflows.

Overview

  • ETH trades above $4,000 after a weekly high near $4,232, with the 4‑hour double‑bottom neckline around $4,100 now being retested.
  • A confirmed push through resistance outlines upside toward roughly $4,400–$4,500, while failure keeps downside risk toward $4,050–$3,900 and potentially $3,700.
  • CoinGlass shows a concentrated short‑liquidation cluster at $4,100–$4,200 that could fuel a squeeze if price breaks higher.
  • Near‑term momentum has softened, with a weakening MACD and an RSI showing bearish divergence on lower time frames.
  • A corporate treasury purchased 19,271 ETH to lift holdings above 859,000 as U.S. spot ETH ETFs recorded about $555 million in two‑week outflows, including $243.9 million in the latest week with redemptions from major funds.