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Equinor Warns Europe Will Likely Enter Winter With Weakest Gas Buffer In 15 Years

The shortfall raises the risk of sustained spikes in wholesale gas and power prices across Europe.

Overview

  • Equinor CEO Anders Opedal said on Wednesday that Europe is unlikely to refill its gas storage to even 80% before the 2026–27 heating season.
  • European storage stood at about 54% in mid‑July, the second‑lowest level for this date in 15 years according to Equinor and Gas Infrastructure Europe data.
  • The European Union’s energy regulator ACER reported that inventories began the summer injection season at roughly 28%, a level left by a colder‑than‑average winter that drew down supplies.
  • Tight global liquefied natural gas markets and rising Asian demand have pulled spot cargoes away from Europe, and disruptions affecting shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have intensified that competition.
  • EU officials are discussing lowering the previous 90% pre‑winter planning guideline toward roughly 75–80%, a change driven by persistent supply pressure that could push TTF gas prices and household and industrial electricity bills higher.