Overview
- Emerson College Polling, released Thursday, puts Sen. Ed Markey at 37% and Rep. Seth Moulton at 32% among likely Democratic primary voters, with 29% undecided.
- Markey leads among registered Democrats, women, and voters under 50, while Moulton runs stronger with unenrolled voters and men are essentially split.
- Women and under‑50 voters are more likely to be undecided, which could shift support as campaigns court those groups.
- Moulton says the numbers show momentum and presses for debates, while Markey calls the survey an outlier and says he will debate once the field is set ahead of the Democratic convention in Worcester this month.
- The survey interviewed 1,000 Massachusetts voters May 3–4 and included 451 likely Democratic voters, with credibility intervals of about ±3% overall and ±4.5% for the primary sample, and it contrasts with earlier polls that showed Markey with a double‑digit lead.