Overview
- An independent Emerson College survey (Jan. 31–Feb. 2) shows Andy Barr at 24%, Daniel Cameron at 21%, and Nate Morris at 14%, with 38% of likely GOP primary voters undecided.
- A Morris campaign–commissioned Fabrizio poll (Jan. 27–29) reports Morris up double digits since August and leading among voters familiar with all three candidates.
- The Fabrizio memo finds Morris’s support jumps to roughly 42% in a simulated scenario when voters are told of Charlie Kirk’s endorsement.
- Elon Musk contributed $10 million to the pro‑Morris super PAC Fight for Kentucky, adding significant outside resources to his effort.
- Federal Election Commission filings show Barr with about $6.4–$6.5 million cash on hand, compared with roughly $1.4 million for Morris and about $630,000 for Cameron, and President Trump has not endorsed ahead of the May 19 primary.