Overview
- An Emerson College poll released Thursday found Abdul El‑Sayed leading Haley Stevens 54% to 39% among 700 likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of ±3.7 points.
- Multiple other recent surveys and the RealClearPolitics average have moved toward El‑Sayed, producing several double‑digit leads in the closing days of the race.
- The campaign turned sharply personal this week after Stevens posted that El‑Sayed wants to "blame all of your problems on Jewish Americans" in response to his public criticism of AIPAC.
- Outside groups have poured unusual sums into the primary, with United Democracy Project/AIPAC reported to have spent roughly $30.6 million and allied super PACs adding tens of millions to back Stevens.
- The winner will face Republican Mike Rogers in November, and some general‑election polls show Rogers performing better against El‑Sayed than against Stevens, a dynamic that could shape Democratic strategy and party unity into the fall.