Overview
- The Jurado Electoral Especial de Lima Oeste 2 ordered a fiscalization report of Ipsos after CEO Alfredo Torres said partial ONPE counts and outside calculations pointed to a Keiko Fujimori advantage, a measure reported on Monday.
- Juntos por el Perú filed the original complaint to the JNE arguing Ipsos did not publish the underlying models, ficha técnica or results that Torres referenced, which the regulator says is required under article 18 of the election survey rules for preelectoral studies.
- Torres and Ipsos reject the probe's legal basis, saying no new Ipsos study was released, that his remarks were commentary based on real‑time ONPE actas and public expert projections, and that opening an investigation would harm freedom of expression.
- Ipsos defended its preelectoral work, noting its simulacrum, exit poll and quick count showed a razor‑tight race and that its quick count differed from ONPE tallies by 0.6 percentage points, which it says falls inside its stated 1.9 point margin of error.
- The case remains in regulatory review with no sanctions announced, and the JNE's next steps will shape whether election rules for publishing technical details extend to postelection public analyses and statements by pollsters.