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El Niño Watch Builds as Argentina and Mexico Issue Heat and Wind Alerts

A March outlook signals a slow turn toward El Niño.

Overview

  • - National weather services warned Thursday of hazardous conditions across Latin America, with Argentina flagging high winds in Patagonia and Mexico cautioning about a heat wave and storms.
  • - Argentina’s meteorological agency issued a yellow alert for Santa Cruz and Tierra del Fuego with sustained winds near 40 to 65 km/h and gusts that could reach 100 km/h.
  • - Mexico’s forecast called for rain, lightning and hail across multiple states, along with a heat wave driving temperatures up to 45°C in parts of Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas.
  • - Local outlooks showed calmer pockets, with Buenos Aires set for a dry, partly cloudy day around 14°C to 22°C and Galician towns expecting morning clouds or light showers before daytime clearing and brisk northeasterly winds.
  • - An official March assessment projected a gradual shift from La Niña toward a likely El Niño beginning in spring 2026, which tends to boost rain and flood risk in eastern Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and southern Brazil while leaving some western areas drier and changing pest and disease pressures for farms.