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2h ago

ECB Calls for Patience as BoJ Expected to Hold Rates This Month

Leaders favor waiting for proof of wage pass‑through from higher energy costs.

A person shields themselves from the rain while walking near the Bank of England building on the day the Monetary Policy Committee lowered interest rates, in London, Britain, December 18, 2025. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo
European Central Bank (ECB) Vice-President Luis de Guindos arrives at the Presidential Palace for a meeting with Cyprus President Nikos Christodoulides in Nicosia, Cyprus, October 4, 2023. REUTERS/Yiannis Kourtoglou
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Overview

  • ECB Vice‑President Luis de Guindos said Tuesday the bank must keep a cool head and wait for evidence that pricier oil and gas are feeding into broader prices.
  • Christine Lagarde said Monday the energy shock has not reached the ECB’s adverse scenario and that policymakers need more data before changing interest rates.
  • Japan’s central bank is widely expected to keep its policy rate near 0.75% at the April 27–28 meeting, with officials prepared to consider a hike by June if inflation stays firm.
  • Eurozone inflation has edged higher on headline readings to about 2.6% with core near 2.3%, while growth forecasts sit near 0.9%, creating a tougher trade‑off for rate‑setters.
  • Prediction and rate‑odds markets show very low chances of big moves by either central bank this month, though the displayed probabilities come from thin trading that can shift quickly.