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Earth’s ‘Green Center’ Is Shifting North and East, PNAS Study Finds

Researchers introduce a kNDVI method to chart Earth’s seasonal vegetation center across decades.

Overview

  • Peer‑reviewed analysis finds a persistent multidecadal northward drift of the vegetation focal point, moving roughly 3 to 14 kilometers per year.
  • The center traces a yearly wave from a mid‑July northern extreme near Iceland to a March southern extreme off Liberia, yet it remains on the Northern Hemisphere.
  • An eastward shift is linked to pronounced greening hotspots in India, China and Russia, with Chinese afforestation cited as a likely contributor.
  • The team proposes longer growing seasons, milder winters and CO2 fertilization as potential drivers, emphasizing these remain hypotheses requiring further tests.
  • The kNDVI framework, built from long‑term satellite records and models, could be adapted to track analogous seasonal centers for ice cover, water storage and fires.