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4w ago

Early Returns Show GOP Gains in California Primary

The snapshot reflects timing differences in ballot returns between the parties.

Trump supporters gather as part of the "American Restoration Tour" to persuade people to walk away from Democrats in Beverly Hills in Los Angeles, California on april 27, 2025. A group of counterprotesters also attended this gathering, bashing Trump and his supporters. (Photo by Ali Matin / Middle East Images via AFP)
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Overview

  • PDI data posted Saturday showed about 905,000 ballots returned for the June 2 primary, with Republicans at roughly 37 percent of returns and Democrats near 41 percent.
  • Compared with the same point in 2022, Republicans are up about 11 percentage points and Democrats are down about 13 points in the early ballot share.
  • Older voters dominate the early vote, with the 65-plus group accounting for about 54 percent of returns, while ages 18 to 34 make up about 10 percent.
  • County snapshots show GOP advantages in some large counties, including higher early return rates in San Diego and an early edge in Orange County, with Republicans also outpacing Democrats in turnout rate in Los Angeles County though not in raw votes.
  • PDI’s Paul Mitchell cites Republicans returning to pre-2020 mail voting habits and some Democrats holding ballots in a crowded top-two primary, and outlets also note these figures are preliminary and could shift as more ballots come in.