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Duolingo Rises 3% on Oil-Led Market Rally

The bounce reflects broader risk-on trading rather than fresh company news.

Overview

  • Shares closed at $101.43, up 3.1% after an early-session pop.
  • A 4% slide in U.S. crude to $94.75 eased Strait of Hormuz supply worries and helped lift the S&P 500 about 1.2%.
  • The stock is still down roughly 42.5% year to date and about 81% below its May 2025 high of $540.68.
  • A widely circulated bull thesis cites a ~10% free cash flow yield, over $1 billion in net cash, and about $360 million in annual FCF at roughly 3x forward revenue, arguing AI threats are overstated.
  • Duolingo has a $400 million 2026 share repurchase authorized and is investing in chess, music, and math learning offerings to diversify beyond core language study.