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Dow Returns to Profit as Polyethylene Prices Lift Q2 Results

Rising polyethylene prices drove a quarter of higher revenue and a GAAP profit while management flagged softer volumes and offered no updated second-half guidance.

Overview

  • Dow reported on July 23 that adjusted EPS was $1.44, above the $1.28 LSEG consensus, and GAAP net income swung to $802 million from a year-earlier loss.
  • Net sales rose to about $12.09 billion, up roughly 20% year-over-year, with Packaging & Specialty Plastics revenue jumping 27% as polyethylene prices climbed across all regions.
  • Overall company volumes fell about 1%, pressured by scheduled maintenance, weaker end-market demand and an unplanned siloxanes plant outage at Barry, UK.
  • Management raised expected 2026 benefits from its Transform to Outperform restructuring program by roughly $200 million to more than $1.3 billion, citing accelerated cost and portfolio actions.
  • Shares slipped about 2.8% in premarket trading as investors reacted to volume weakness, regional demand headwinds tied to Middle East supply disruptions, and the absence of refreshed H2 guidance; the situation could leave Dow vulnerable if polymer prices ease.