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Deutsche Bank Sets 8,000 S&P 500 Target for End-2026

The call rests on a $320 EPS model with wider profit contribution beyond mega‑cap tech.

Overview

  • The projection tops peers’ 2026 calls, which cluster near 7,100–7,800 from Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley.
  • Deutsche Bank argues earnings breadth is improving, citing FactSet data showing Q3 blended EPS up nearly 13%–13.4% with 83% of companies beating estimates.
  • Nine of 11 S&P 500 sectors posted strong profit growth in Q3, and the other 493 index members delivered 11.9% earnings growth.
  • A Nasdaq review found the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index and the Russell 2000 within 1%–2% of record highs in late November, signaling broader participation.
  • Strategists highlight rapid AI investment and a supportive macro backdrop as pillars for sustained multiples, with rate policy seen as a key swing factor.