Overview
- The CNN/SSRS poll, released Friday, found 74% of voters say congressional Democrats have the wrong priorities, including 55% of Democrats, and showed Democratic leaders now at a net minus-4 with their own voters.
- Multiple trackers report President Trump at second-term lows, with CNN at 35% approval, RMG/Napolitan at 40% approval and 58% disapproval, and the FiftyPlusOne average at a net minus-21, with analysts tying the slide to the Iran war and higher costs like gas.
- Despite weak party images, Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by about six points, helped by “double haters” — roughly a quarter of voters who dislike both parties — favoring Democrats by 31 points.
- Leadership turbulence is growing for Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer, as CNN reports his public rating at a net minus-32 and the Kalshi prediction market now prices his chance to keep the job at about 50%.
- Turnout signals favor Democrats for now, with Democratic-leaning voters more likely to say they are extremely motivated to vote and younger Republicans reporting far lower motivation, which could shape close races.