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Democratic Flip in Deep-Red Texas Senate District 9 Alarms GOP Before Midterms

A low-turnout runoff delivered a 31-point swing from Trump’s 2024 margin, intensifying Republican worries over turnout strategy.

Overview

  • Air Force veteran and union leader Taylor Rehmet won SD-09 with 57% of the vote, defeating Republican Leigh Wambsganss by about 14 points.
  • Republicans called the result a wake-up call and blamed weak GOP participation, with turnout around 15% on a cold weekend.
  • The GOP’s spending edge — including roughly $736,000 by Wambsganss to about $70,000 for Rehmet and broader Republican outlays of about $2 million — failed to prevent the loss.
  • Analysts point to gains among independents, some moderate Republicans, and Latino voters, while noting special-election electorates limit direct predictions for November.
  • Trump urged votes for Wambsganss in late posts, then distanced himself after the defeat; Rehmet will serve the remainder of the term and is set for a November 2026 rematch.