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DeepSeek Leads Live AI Crypto Trading Test as Early Returns Diverge Sharply

The live Alpha Arena benchmark gives identical capital plus one prompt to six LLMs trading real crypto through November 3.

Overview

  • After three days, DeepSeek is up roughly 30–35% with Grok and Claude also posting strong early gains in the 25–30% range, though standings remain fluid.
  • GPT-5 and Gemini have logged steep drawdowns reported between about 28% and 39%, with coverage noting Gemini’s rapid flips in market stance that compounded losses.
  • Each model received $10,000 to trade BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE and BNB perpetuals on Hyperliquid under fully autonomous conditions.
  • All entrants operated under a single published system prompt with required stops and take-profit plans, and their trades, logs and connected wallets are public for verification.
  • Organizers and outlets say the experiment highlights both the promise of LLM-led trading and the risks tied to reliability, opacity and potentially correlated agent behavior.