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Deegan Proposes Just-Over-$2 Billion Jacksonville Budget Facing Large Property-Tax Risk

Council members are weighing procedural moves to protect reserves because a proposed homestead-exemption increase could sharply reduce local property-tax capacity.

Overview

  • Mayor Donna Deegan unveiled a balanced budget just above $2 billion that preserves reserves and raises pay for first responders while increasing overall spending about 1.1 percent from the prior year.
  • The plan directs roughly $1.07 billion to police and fire and includes a $586 million capital improvement plan with line items such as $36 million for road resurfacing, $12 million for sidewalks, $25 million for septic and stormwater projects, $27 million for the Museum of Science & History, and $25 million for Riverfront Park.
  • A proposed November constitutional amendment to expand Florida’s homestead exemption poses the chief fiscal risk with estimates ranging widely from roughly $300 million to as much as $1.3 billion in lost property-tax capacity for Duval County beginning in 2027.
  • Several City Council members are preparing to move discretionary spending “below the line,” a procedural tactic that would force a two-thirds (13 of 19) vote to restore those items later and protect the city’s fiscal flexibility if revenues fall.
  • State budget forecasts from the Legislature’s Office of Economic & Demographic Research show growing deficits, which lowers the chance of timely state backfill and sets up sustained budget negotiations through council hearings town halls and the fall election season.