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Overview
- Datafolha, published Saturday, shows a runoff tie with Flávio Bolsonaro at 46% and Lula at 45%, the first time Flávio holds a numeric edge.
- The survey interviewed 2,004 voters in 137 cities from April 7–9, carried a two-point margin of error, and was registered with the electoral court as BR-03770/2026.
- In first-round testing Lula has 39% to Flávio's 35%, and both face high rejection, with 48% saying they would not vote for Lula and 46% rejecting Flávio.
- Flávio celebrated the result on social media and at events, while PT figures called it a snapshot and blamed fallout from Banco Master and INSS probes for Lula's dip.
- On the trail, Flávio urged support for Senate hopefuls who back impeaching Supreme Court justices and endorsed a plan to “reset the game” for January 8 defendants.