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Datafolha Poll Finds Insecurity Dominant in Brazil Seven Months Before Vote

The pre‑election survey ties Brazilians’ emotions to political alignment, underscoring persistent polarization.

Overview

  • Sixty-nine percent of respondents report feeling insecure, with high shares also citing discouragement and fear of the future (61% each) and sadness (59%).
  • Emotions track with views of the government: insecurity reaches 93% among those who disapprove of President Lula, while 53% of approvers say they feel secure and 66% report animation and happiness.
  • By vote intention, 89% of Flávio Bolsonaro supporters say they feel insecure versus 41% among intended Lula voters; looking back to 2022, the split is 90% among Jair Bolsonaro voters and 46% among Lula voters.
  • Economic sentiment deteriorated since December, with the share saying the economy worsened rising from 41% to 46%, alongside growing expectations of higher inflation and unemployment.
  • The nationally representative Datafolha survey interviewed 2,004 people in 137 municipalities from March 3–5, 2026, has a ±2 percentage‑point margin of error, and is registered with the TSE as BR-03715/2026.