Overview
- The Leeds School’s 61st Colorado Business Economic Outlook projects real GDP growth near 2.9% in 2026.
- Employment is forecast to rise by 17,500 jobs, or 0.6%, after an estimated 12,500 gain in 2025.
- The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 4.1% as hiring slows but fewer workers switch jobs and population inflows remain weak.
- Professional and business services and information are projected to lose jobs, while education and health add the most and leisure and hospitality likely declines.
- Economists cite a sharp rise in effective tariffs on imports (from 3% to 21% in 2025), tighter immigration and recent federal data delays as headwinds, even as H.R.1 tax cuts and steady spending support growth with no recession expected.