Overview
- FOMC minutes flagged slower disinflation and kept cuts off the near horizon, pressuring risk assets and reviving crypto selling.
- Ethereum trades near $1,960–$2,000 below its realized price with MVRV under 1.0, as roughly 445,000 ETH moved onto exchanges in a week, adding about $887 million in potential sell supply.
- XRP hovers around $1.40 after roughly 200 million tokens were withdrawn from Binance over ten days, while thinning liquidity makes a daily close below $1.30 a critical breakdown risk.
- Bitcoin remains concentrated around $65,000–$69,000 as spot ETFs extend a five‑week outflow streak totaling nearly $4 billion, with analysts warning of downside squeeze risk toward $60,000 if support gives way.
- Flow and positioning data show record BTC inflows to Binance by large holders and a tilt toward crowded longs, reinforcing a fragile setup into upcoming macro prints.