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CPI Polls Show Fragmented Peru Race With López Aliaga at 13.9% as Undecided Bloc Leads

In-person CPI surveys from Feb. 14–18 underscore a volatile electorate ahead of March–April debates proposed by the JNE.

Overview

  • Rafael López Aliaga tops the presidential field at 13.9%, with Keiko Fujimori at 7.0% and Alfonso López Chau at 5.1%, as no candidate clears roughly 14%.
  • Undecided voters reach 29.1% nationwide and 16.1% say they would vote blank or null, a combined bloc larger than any single candidacy.
  • Trendlines show López Chau rising from 1.8% in November to 5.1% in February, López Aliaga edging down from 14.6% in January, Keiko Fujimori recovering slightly, and Martín Vizcarra falling to 3.2%.
  • In Lima’s mayoral race, Renzo Reggiardo leads with 19.2% and Carlos Bruce has 16.0%, while 29.8% remain undecided, especially women (34.3%) and voters aged 25–39 (37.2%).
  • CPI conducted face-to-face household interviews Feb. 14–18 (national urban margin of error ±2.7%; Lima ±4.6%), and electoral authorities have proposed six presidential debate dates in March–April.