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CoreWeave Slides as Guidance Disappoints and Spending Plan Swells Despite Massive Backlog

Investors focus on widening losses plus rising interest costs despite management’s claim that the expansion is fully backed by signed customer contracts.

Overview

  • Shares have fallen roughly 28% since the Feb. 26 report after Q1 revenue guidance of $1.9 billion to $2.0 billion trailed the $2.29 billion consensus.
  • Management raised 2026 capital spending to $30 billion–$35 billion, tying the buildout to contracted demand and signaling Q1 as the margin trough with sequential improvement expected.
  • The contracted backlog reached $66.8 billion, up nearly fourfold year over year and including an estimated $5 billion agreement with Meta.
  • Q4 revenue grew 110% to $1.57 billion, but the net loss widened to $284 million and quarterly interest expense rose to $388 million.
  • Analysts largely trimmed price targets following the update, with JPMorgan, Mizuho and Stifel cutting estimates, while Citi lowered its target and EPS forecasts even as some firms maintained bullish stances.