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Conestoga Rebalances After Small-Cap AI Rally

The firm says a narrow, AI- and semiconductor-driven surge lifted small-cap benchmarks and is shifting portfolios into businesses with steadier cash flow as policy tightens.

Overview

  • Conestoga published its Q2 2026 investor letter in early August reporting that Russell small-cap indexes soared while its quality‑focused composites lagged, with the Conestoga Small Cap Composite returning 14.32% versus 25.71% for the Russell 2000 Growth Index.
  • The letter says the recent market advance was concentrated in high‑beta AI and semiconductor names and that this narrow leadership masked broader improvements across the portfolio.
  • Conestoga added positions it considers durable, including Perimeter Solutions for its predictable earnings and a five‑year Defense Logistics Agency contract, and Forgent Power for market‑share gains, backlog and exposure to electrification and AI infrastructure.
  • The firm sold positions where company‑specific risks rose, citing execution and weaker life‑science funding for Azenta, a first‑quarter revenue decline and low recovery visibility for Badger Meter, slow customer adoption at BlackLine, and integration risk at Crane NXT after acquisitions.
  • Conestoga expects speculative leadership to fade as monetary policy tightens and says its emphasis on predictable cash flow, disciplined capital allocation, and niche market positions should benefit investors if market breadth broadens.