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Colorado Snowpack Hits Record Lows as Forecasts Stay Dry Into Mid-February

Unusual winter warmth with a stalled storm track is driving widespread deficits that threaten spring water supplies.

Overview

  • Colorado has held an all-time low snowpack for 16 straight days, with statewide snow water at 5.3 inches, about 0.6 inches below the previous record for this date.
  • Statewide levels sit near 58% of the median, with basin readings from 50% in the Arkansas to 68% in the North Platte, according to recent assessments.
  • NRCS monitoring shows most Western basins trending below average after a warm start to winter that pushed more precipitation to fall as rain rather than snow.
  • Forecasts from the European model and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center point to only weak systems and below-average precipitation through mid-February.
  • Forecasters note a likely shift from La Niña toward neutral this spring that could bring late-season gains, though scientists still warn of strained water supplies, higher wildfire risk, and added pressure on Colorado River talks.