Overview
- Negotiators from the seven basin states are unlikely to reach Interior’s Feb. 14 target for a new framework to manage the Colorado River.
- The Lower Basin (Arizona, California, Nevada) seeks mandatory cutbacks shared by all seven states, while the Upper Basin (Colorado, Wyoming, Utah, New Mexico) resists mandated cuts.
- Federal officials have outlined draft operating alternatives and could impose a plan by October if no deal emerges, a step observers say would likely trigger lawsuits.
- States are exploring short-term bridge agreements lasting two to five years to avoid immediate litigation and buy time for a longer-term pact.
- Hydrology has sharply worsened: flows into Lake Powell are projected at about 38% of normal, Upper Basin snowpack is roughly 43% of normal, Lake Powell sits near 26% full, and Lake Mead is a little over one‑third full.