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Cold Drives Far More U.S. Heart Deaths Than Heat, National Study Finds

The findings press hospitals and public health agencies to plan for cold snaps that can strain emergency care.

Overview

  • The nationwide study of 2000–2020 county data across 819 U.S. locations, published Tuesday with ACC.26, estimates about 40,000 extra cardiovascular deaths each year tied to cold.
  • Heat still raised risk but to a much smaller degree, with about 2,000 additional cardiovascular deaths per year across the same period.
  • Researchers identified an optimum temperature near 23°C (74°F) and a lopsided U‑shaped pattern, with mortality rising on both sides and climbing far faster in colder months.
  • Older adults and people with diabetes, heart failure, or chronic kidney disease face higher risk because cold constricts blood vessels and sparks inflammatory responses.
  • The analysis used monthly, population‑level data, which the authors note as a limit, and they plan a follow‑on study linking daily temperatures with EMS activations to refine short‑term risk estimates.