Overview
- Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal said in a Fox Business interview Wednesday that negotiators are very close to agreement on the bill’s stablecoin yield rules and that progress could come within 48 hours.
- Grewal pushed back on bank warnings that paying interest on stablecoins would drain deposits, saying there is no evidence of deposit flight to stablecoins.
- If the yield fight is resolved, the bill could move to a Senate Banking Committee markup later this month, with sponsors eyeing a floor debate after that.
- Forecasts are split, with Polymarket traders lifting the odds of 2026 enactment to about 65% as TD Cowen holds at roughly one-in-three and some senators cool earlier optimism.
- The bill would set SEC and CFTC lines and decide whether platforms can pay interest on idle stablecoins, a choice that could cut user rewards and squeeze revenue tied to USDC programs that generated about $1.35 billion for Coinbase in 2025; critics like Cardano’s Charles Hoskinson warn the law could take years to implement, while WisdomTree says it can keep building under current SEC rules.