Overview
- Harry Enten told CNN that Trump retains firm sway over Republican voters, pointing to Indiana primaries where five GOP lawmakers who opposed his redistricting push lost.
- Aggregate polling Enten cited puts Trump’s approval among Republican voters at about 84 percent, which is in line with 85 percent at a similar point in 2018 and higher than 76 percent in 2022.
- An ABC–Washington Post survey shows MAGA-identifying Republicans report far higher voting motivation than non-MAGA Republicans, 60 percent versus 36 percent.
- Overall approval has fallen as voters sour on the Iran war and higher gas prices, with one poll Enten referenced finding 64 percent saying the war was not worth the price at the pump.
- Support among Republican-leaning independents has dropped to 53 percent from about 73 percent in Trump’s first term, a shift analysts say could make primary winners less competitive in the general election.