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CNN Analysis Shows Sharp Erosion in Trump’s Non-College Support, Shrinking GOP Advantage

Polling now finds him nine points underwater with working-class voters compared with a 2024 win in that group.

Overview

  • CNN’s Harry Enten reports a 23-point shift from a 14-point 2024 win among non-college voters to a net nine-point disapproval now.
  • Republicans’ congressional edge with non-college voters has slid from about plus-13 in 2024 to roughly plus-4 in current polling.
  • Democrats lead by around 20 points among college-educated voters, intensifying the GOP’s electoral math problem.
  • Enten cited federal data showing manufacturing jobs down about 63,000 since January 2025, noting the trend alongside the administration’s tariff push.
  • The on-air breakdown framed the deterioration as dragging on Republican prospects, with Enten calling Trump’s standing with this bloc “absolutely collapsing.”