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CNN Analysis Shows GOP Gaining With Black Voters, Shrinking Democrats' Longtime Lead

Gallup data reviewed by Harry Enten points to the smallest Democratic party-ID lead with Black voters in years.

Overview

  • CNN’s Harry Enten, in a segment Thursday, said Trump’s approval among Black voters has risen to about 16% from roughly 12% at a similar point in his first term.
  • Enten reported a roughly 12-point Republican gain in party identification among Black voters, noting Democrats still lead but with their smallest Gallup-recorded edge from 2006 to 2021.
  • Reporters linked the current polling to 2024 results, when Trump won about 15% of the Black vote after taking about 8% in 2020, and said Republicans appear to be holding those gains.
  • Coverage placed the trend alongside a recent Supreme Court ruling that narrowed how the Voting Rights Act applies to redistricting, with Trump responding to news of the decision by saying, “I love it!”
  • Analysts said even modest movement could shape close 2026 races in states like Georgia, and outlets across the spectrum highlighted the shift while stressing that Democrats still retain most Black support.