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Clear Street Upgrade Lifts Circle on Record USDC and Regulatory Optimism

The call leans on evidence that USDC growth is transactional rather than speculative.

Overview

  • Clear Street raised Circle (CRCL) to Buy from Hold with a $136 price target, as analyst Owen Lau highlighted five growth drivers: tokenized assets, prediction markets, Middle East payments, AI‑agent transactions, and prospective regulation.
  • CRCL jumped roughly 7–9% on Monday and closed near $125.83, marking its strongest finish since October.
  • USDC circulation hit an all‑time high of about $79 billion after dipping to roughly $70 billion in late January, even as broader crypto markets declined.
  • Clear Street expects the CLARITY Act to pass by the end of summer, a potential catalyst for institutional flows, with the policy debate centered on whether stablecoin holders may earn yield and with the president pushing stakeholders toward compromise.
  • Reinforcing sentiment, Baird lifted its target to $138 (Outperform) and Mizuho to $120, while Circle topped Q4 EPS expectations ($0.43 vs $0.25), and the stock is up about 46% year to date yet still below its 2025 peak.