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CIS Poll in Andalusia Puts Moreno on Top as PP Opens 10-Point Lead Over PSOE

The findings suggest voters will judge the race on regional performance, not national loyalties.

Overview

  • Spain’s public pollster CIS released a 6,016-interview survey conducted March 12–26 that rates Juanma Moreno as the only approved leader and shows the PP at 32.1% in direct voting intention versus 22% for the PSOE.
  • Moreno scores 5.87 out of 10, while PSOE candidate María Jesús Montero ranks fourth at 3.93, just ahead of Vox’s Manuel Gavira.
  • Respondents grade the regional government more favorably than the central government, with 40.2% calling the Junta’s record good or very good and 49.6% rating Madrid’s work bad or very bad.
  • Most voters say they will vote on Andalusian issues, with 65% citing regional matters and about 40% naming public healthcare as their top personal concern, which helps explain cross‑pressures between regional PP support and national backing for Pedro Sánchez.
  • Montero downplayed the poll’s weight, saying polls differ from results, while right-leaning ABC questioned CIS chief José Félix Tezanos’s neutrality ahead of the May 17 regional election.