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Christmas Chocolate Tubs Get Pricier and Smaller as Loyalty Deals Shift

Climate‑hit cocoa supplies are pushing brands to raise prices, with smaller tubs now common.

Overview

  • New ECIU analysis shows sharp price-per-100g increases since 2021: Roses up 95%, Celebrations 88%, Heroes 71% and Quality Street 59%.
  • Shrinkflation has cut pack sizes, including Celebrations falling from about 650g to 500g and Roses down roughly 17% over the period.
  • Worldpanel reports chocolate prices up 18.4% year on year to November 2025, with promotions absorbing some pressure for shoppers.
  • Current checks show wide price variation and heavy reliance on loyalty cards, with Tesco offering some tubs at £3.95 with a Clubcard and several supermarkets charging up to £7 without deals.
  • Recent changes include Morrisons lifting its More Card price to £6 and Sainsbury's raising several Nectar prices, alongside premium 700g Cadbury tins at £16.50 or £10 with Nectar.