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Chinese Banks Lift U.S. Dollar Deposit Rates to Curb Yuan Rally

They are offering dollar yields at or above SOFR to encourage firms to leave dollars onshore to slow the yuan’s recent appreciation.

Overview

  • Multiple commercial lenders, including state-owned and joint-stock banks, raised U.S. dollar deposit rates in recent weeks to make holding dollars in China more attractive.
  • Some banks are quoting rates around or above the U.S. Secured Overnight Financing Rate, which currently stands near 3.61 percent.
  • Banks and traders say the move aims to soak up dollar balances from exporters and other firms so fewer dollars are converted into yuan and the currency’s rise eases.
  • The People’s Bank of China has not publicly confirmed any formal guidance and the adjustments appear to be a quiet, bank-level tool rather than a signed policy change.
  • The step reverses earlier 2023 caps on dollar deposit yields and comes as onshore foreign-exchange deposits reached about $1.15 trillion at the end of April, a level that can meaningfully affect FX flows and liquidity.