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China’s Industrial Profits Jump 21.6% in September, Extending Two-Month Rebound

Economists caution the jump reflects low-base effects.

Overview

  • Official data show the fastest yearly profit growth since November 2023, following a 20.4% rise in August.
  • Profits for major industrial firms rose 3.2% in the first nine months, with high-tech and equipment manufacturers driving gains.
  • Private-sector profits increased 5.1% and foreign firms rose 4.9% year to date, while state-owned enterprises edged down 0.3%.
  • Beijing’s push to curb price wars was cited as a support for earnings, even as producer prices remained in deflation for a third year.
  • Analysts highlighted headwinds from weak domestic demand, a housing slump, and tighter trade conditions, with some projecting slower export growth in the fourth quarter.