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China Uses State Banks to Brake Yuan’s Rally Near 7 Per Dollar

State lenders bought dollars to tighten dollar liquidity by withholding them from swaps.

Overview

  • Onshore trading saw the yuan near 7.06–7.07 to the dollar after notching a 14‑month high, then easing following a softer-than-expected PBOC fixing.
  • Reuters reported that major state-owned banks purchased dollars this week and refrained from recycling them into the swap market, a tactic that lifted the carry cost of long-yuan positions.
  • Sources said the goal was to slow the pace of appreciation rather than reverse it, reflecting policymakers’ preference for a controlled climb.
  • Authorities have guided the currency with daily midpoint fixings within the PBOC’s +/-2% band, at times setting references that diverge from model-implied levels to smooth moves.
  • The yuan is up about 3.3% year to date and could post its biggest annual gain since 2020, as offshore traders position for further strength in spot and options.