Overview
- China's Ministry of Commerce issued a preliminary finding on August 10, 2026 that Mexican and U.S. fresh pecans were dumped and set provisional margins that range from 17.8% to 51.6% for listed Mexican firms and 54.3% for U.S. exporters.
- Provisional measures began applying on August 11, 2026 through a guarantee system that forces importers to post bonds at Chinese customs equal to the company-specific margins before shipments clear.
- Mexico's Secretaría de Economía, working with Secretaría de Agricultura and the Mexican Embassy in Beijing, has opened a coordinated legal and technical defense and will submit arguments during the current comment window.
- The short 10-day comment period opened with the preliminary publication and is a critical opportunity for Mexican exporters and authorities to challenge MOFCOM's price and injury calculations with cost and sales data.
- Direct exports to China were modest at $21.9 million in 2024 but re-exports routed through the United States could enlarge the real impact, with Chihuahua—which produced about 62% of Mexico's pecans in 2024—likely to face concentrated economic pressure if measures become final.