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China Home Prices Fall Again in March as Big Cities Show Tentative Uptick

Analysts say upticks in top-tier cities are not yet a clear turnaround.

Overview

  • Official data show new-home prices fell 0.2% from February and 3.4% from a year earlier in March, the steepest annual drop in ten months.
  • Tier-one hubs recorded month-on-month gains, with prices up 0.3% in Shanghai and Guangzhou, 0.2% in Shenzhen, and flat in Beijing, while only 14 of 70 cities rose overall.
  • Buyer demand remains weak nationwide, leaving most markets under pressure even as both new and resale prices in big cities inched higher.
  • China Vanke underscored the sector’s stress with a 2025 net loss of about 88.6 billion yuan and a move to extend an onshore bond due this month after delaying three others earlier this year.
  • Authorities are trying targeted fixes, including looser buying limits in Shanghai and purchase subsidies in Wuxi and Yichang, to curb new supply, reduce inventory, and coax hesitant buyers back.