Overview
- A CSIS analysis using May 2026 satellite imagery shows a large hull under construction at Dalian that measures about 938 feet by 151 feet and contains two large internal spaces consistent with reactor plant compartments and room for electromagnetic aircraft launch systems.
- Open-source observers and analysts say the design points to possible nuclear propulsion and four EMALS launchers, features that would increase range and sortie rates but remain unconfirmed by Chinese authorities.
- Taking the six-year pace of the Fujian as a guide, analysts project the Type 004 could be launched around 2032 if construction continues at a similar speed.
- Meanwhile the PLAN has stepped up Western Pacific activity: Japan and other monitors tracked the Liaoning carrier strike group operating east of Luzon on May 25–26 with the new Type 054B frigate and a large fast-combat-support ship integrated into the formation.
- Beijing is also expanding sustainment and undersea forces, with reports of much larger underway replenishment ships and testimony in March 2026 that submarine production is accelerating, though China still faces pilot shortages, limited carrier combat experience, and chokepoints that will slow operational reach.