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Centre‑Left Holds Razor‑Thin Lead as Sweden Election Remains Unsettled

Early and overseas ballots due midweek will determine the final outcome

Overview

  • Preliminary counts released late Sunday into Monday gave Magdalena Andersson’s centre‑left bloc a margin of roughly one to three seats in the 349‑seat Riksdag, leaving the overall result too close to call.
  • Sweden’s election authority and local boards say the outcome may not be decided until early to midweek when advance and overseas votes are counted and added to the totals.
  • The far‑right Sweden Democrats dropped from their 2022 level to about 17.6–18% in preliminary tallies, but Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has vowed to offer them cabinet posts if the right‑wing bloc can form a government.
  • Forming a stable government will be complicated because small parties hold decisive power; the Centre Party has refused to govern with the Left Party, which could block a straightforward left‑wing cabinet even if the centre‑left lead holds.
  • The vote was driven by immigration and crime concerns and the result will shape policy on asylum, policing and social spending in Sweden and influence the wider European debate over the rise of nationalist parties.