Overview
- Preliminary results with more than 90 percent of ballots counted show the centre‑left bloc projected at 176 seats versus 173 for the right‑wing bloc in the 349‑seat Riksdag.
- The razor‑thin lead follows Sunday’s vote when early counts put the opposition ahead by roughly 20,000 votes and set up a finish that could change when late domestic and overseas ballots are added.
- The Sweden Democrats unexpectedly lost support, sliding about three percentage points to roughly 17.5–17.6 percent which weakened but did not erase their parliamentary leverage.
- Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats remain the largest party with a historically weak share near 28 percent, which complicates forming a stable left coalition and could delay a confirmed change of government.
- Turnout fell to about 80 percent and analysts say mainstream parties’ tougher migration and crime positions eroded the far right’s single‑issue appeal while leaving any future government fragile because Sweden’s proportional system makes coalition deals decisive