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CDU Edges Ahead in Rhineland-Palatinate as AfD Surges and SPD Slumps

Preliminary returns signal a rebound for Merz after Baden‑Württemberg.

Overview

  • An ARD forecast after polls closed put the CDU at roughly 30.5–30.9%, the SPD around 25–27%, and the AfD near 19–20% in Rhineland‑Palatinate.
  • Preliminary results indicate the CDU is poised to reclaim the state leadership for the first time since 1991, with Gordon Schnieder on course to unseat SPD Premier Alexander Schweitzer.
  • The SPD’s share fell by about 10 percentage points to roughly 25.8%, intensifying questions for the party’s national leadership.
  • With no clear majority expected and other parties rejecting cooperation with the AfD, a CDUSPD coalition is viewed as the likeliest state‑level arrangement pending final tallies.
  • The vote is the second contest in a super election year seen as a national barometer before September races in eastern states where the AfD polls strongly.