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Cathie Wood Cuts ARK’s 2030 Bitcoin Bull-Case Target to $1.2 Million

She attributes the downgrade to stablecoins’ rapid rise in payments displacing use cases once modeled for Bitcoin.

Overview

  • ARK’s revised high-end scenario trims about $300,000 from the prior $1.5 million bull case outlined earlier this year.
  • Wood says stablecoins are taking on money transfer roles her team previously expected Bitcoin to capture.
  • The firm’s April framework still includes a $710,000 base case and a $300,000 bear case for 2030.
  • Despite the cut, Wood continues to position Bitcoin as digital gold supported by growing institutional participation.
  • The adjustment comes as Bitcoin has struggled in recent trading, prompting a reassessment of its payments addressable market.