Cantor Raises Rocket Lab Price Target After Record Year and Hefty Backlog
A government‑skewed backlog plus a faster launch cadence sharpen near‑term revenue visibility despite the Neutron slip to late 2026.
Overview
- Cantor Fitzgerald lifted its Rocket Lab target to $85 from $72 and reiterated an Overweight rating, citing stronger results and pipeline.
- Rocket Lab reported about $602 million in fiscal 2025 revenue, roughly 38% year over year and above both consensus and guidance.
- The company completed 21 successful launches in fiscal 2025, including seven in the fourth quarter, as launch revenue climbed to $199 million.
- Contracted backlog stood near $1.85 billion at Q4 2025, with about 74% tied to Space Systems and roughly 37% expected to convert within 12 months.
- The update flagged Rocket Lab’s largest contract to date, the SDA Tranche 3 firm fixed‑price OTA with up to $805 million in potential value, and noted reports that Neutron’s debut is now targeted for Q4 2026.